What can Entrepreneurs and Small Business Expect in 2010?
In looking back on 2009, I think I speak for most of us when saying “we are more than glad to see it go,” but now the obvious question most often asked is “What can Entrepreneurs and Small Business expect to happen in 2010?”
Before you read any further you must realize that all is not the doom and gloom of bad news for 2010, but represent the continued challenges and opportunities presented by the evolution of the market conditions for Entrepreneurs to not only recognize, but quickly adapt their business models by streamlining processes for organizational efficiencies designed to achieve the greatest results and success. Let’s take a look at some important Small Business Trends for 2010.
The New Thrift Consumer: Many things have worked together in a perfect storm to create a new era of thrift in the market including the very bad economy, relentlessly high unemployment rates, and the bursting of the huge housing bubble, as well as many other factors.
Consumers have quickly adjusted by spending less, tirelessly looking for the best bargains and deals, which impacts Small Business directly by making it a lot more difficult to convince cons
umers to not only spend, but more importantly to continue spending, and we look for no change in that scenario any time in the near future. It’s never been a question that you have to give people as consumers what they want, and the new reality for Small Business is what they want are bargains, bargains, bargains.
The New Employee Class: Another adaptation of Small Business directly related to the evolution of the challenges presented by the economy, is that increasingly employees are being reclassified,
both voluntarily and involuntarily, to either part-time or independent contractor status, and whether the case is forced or not, full-time employment accompanied by full-time benefits is increasingly becoming both harder to find, and harder to provide.
With closer examination it’s easy to understand why employers both big and small are feeling forced to adopt this course of action, it simply saves money and increases critical cash flow, but unfortunately as a result it has also created a restless and dissatisfied workforce.
Doing More with Less: Similar to what their customers are experiencing, Small Businesses have to survive on less operating capital, while faced with the increasing pressure from ever growing financial burdens.
There are many various factors directly responsible for this, and all are contributing equally including fewer customers with less to spend, tighter credit guidelines generally making it more difficult to obtain loans, even the once
popular use of home equity, and there is no letup in sight as the financial demands on Small Business continue to grow.
Consumers are Going Local: A natural trend finds consumers and their families are increasingly seeing more value and a comfort zone in looking for someplace local when deciding where to spend their money. Additionally, with people staying closer to home right now because of the economy, with families focused more and more on the local community and the family unit, the fast growing emotional sentiment is home is the best place to be and spend money.
Increase in Green Opportunities Continues: Regardless of whether “Cap and Trade” laws are ever established, there will continue to be a myriad of opportunities in the global green industry market for Entrepreneurs, as demand continues to grow in the global market for products that are both good for the environment, and reduce costs for the consumers.
The Age of CONNECTivity: Not too long ago, online activity and brand were separate and independent of each other with even their own separate departments and budgets, now the trend is accelerating towards creating interconnectivity with new and evolving tools to facilitate and enhance the level of connection.
Now it is important to connect websites and blogs to social networking applications including Facebook, Twitter, MySpace, YouTube and others. In addition, applications like Hootsuite, TweetDeck, SocialOmph, and others allow you to filter your new content across your interconnected online presence every time you update your blog.
The obvious opportunity presenting itself is that you can significantly increase your online presence and resulting ROI at much less cost than traditional marketing strategies, and the real challenge is to correctly execute the connectivity strategies and enjoy the successes.
Social Media Has Arrived: For Business both large and small, Social Media has greatly matured from its early development, and now advanced knowledge and understanding of
Social Media is one of the hottest and most critical of all online trends, Twitter has become a valued customer service tool, as companies both large and small use it more and more to obtain customer feedback, and in return post information, news and views. Last year businesses around the world learned Facebook is a great place to CONNECT with their niche markets, as Facebook continues to grow exponentially with 50 million new users in 2 months, and recently announcing it has surpassed the 400 million user threshold.
The New Information Sharing Culture: How we share information and experiences has dramatically changed in a relatively short span of time, and looking back as recent as 10 years ago we see that we used to share national experiences, and the nightly national news was one of just a few sources of information content, but that has been rapidly changing, for a couple of reasons.
The first is the major fragmentation of the media with too many to count news outlets, websites, cable channels, mobile apps and the like, opportunities to create shared experiences continues to quickly diminish, since as a result of the media fragmentation, we are all experiencing exposure to different informational content.
Additionally, as user-created content becomes easier and easier, peoples willingness to share experiences and opinions has become much more prevalent, and YouTube, blogs, Facebook, Twitter, Wikipedia, Yelp, Flickr, texting, and many other applications including email, all contribute to both the media fragmentation as well as the exponential growth of the sharing culture.
It is vital for the Small Business Entrepreneur to realize that people look for, and increasingly expects to establish personal CONNECTIONS and build those relationships, and the demand for small, localized, and immediate user-created media are what the consumers in the market are looking for.
Welcome to the New Mobile World: The only market that can successfully claim to be hotter than social media is the mobile, and it is red-red-hot.
Let’s examine the reasons including there are almost five times more cell phones than PCs worldwide and the gap is widening, cell phones are the favorite product of the younger generations, evidenced by almost no texts sent in 2000, but this year it is projected that more than 130 billion texts will be sent on average each month, all of which means that the red-hot mobile market will continue to present countless mobile options for Small Business in 2010 and beyond.
Let’s look at the new variety of ways the success of small business mobile campaigns can be measured including the number of shakes and finger swipes, the number of blogs, articles, tweets, digs and eyeballs. Don’t forget the number of acquisitions, conversions, calls, responses or purchases, along with the total shopping cart size, consumer recalls, loyalty and recommendations, complaints, and finally check-ins and check-outs.
The Small Business Economy: Last year, 2009, is one we are all glad is over, but will never forget for just how bad it was economically, and this year the economy will continue as the most important trend factor effecting Small Business, with the outlook both a little better and hopefully somewhat more stable.
As evidenced by very recent adjustments to unemployment activity that shows over the past year the number of unemployed higher than what had been originally reported, while at the same time a drop in the unemployment rate from 10% to 9.7%, there has been an increase in Small Business startup activity, and Entrepreneurs through vital innovation will continue to be the focal point and driving force in the rebirth and future growth of the critically vital Small Business economy, and the mantra for 2010 and beyond should be “As Small Business Goes, So Goes the Nation.”
Consider current statistics from the U.S. Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy, for 2009 that shows small businesses that number almost 30 million,
employs more than half of all workers, constitutes 99.7% of all employers, constitutes 97% of all exporters, and creates the majority of business innovations.
Finally, with unemployment projected to hover around 10% for several months, the unemployed quickly running out of benefits and with less benefits for those fortunate enough to still be employed, Small Business startups of all varieties are increasing, with home-based businesses, one person shops, part-time ventures, online enterprises, partnerships, high tech companies, and other business entities. These are the true Entrepreneurs who, with their innovative and creative energy, ingenuity, drive, and hard work will ultimately lead us out of this tumultuous Great Recession.
How to Evaluate a Website:: Widener Criteria Evaluation
TeamAltman :: Evaluating Your Website
Widener Criteria Website Evaluation site:
http://www3.widener.edu/
an_Information_Web_Page/5720/
It is important to look at a website with an insightful eye. There are some fundamental guidelines when creating a website and below is an example of how to evaluate a website. The website chosen is important for many different reasons and places high in our evaluations process.
Gapminder.org Website Evaluation::
This is a Website Evaluation of the Gap Minder organization using the Widener criteria. According to all the criteria listed and reviewed the website seems to be accurate, well designed, and currently maintained. The site uses a blog to let users know of current updates and news. I have found this site to pass the Widener criteria for site design and content.
Taken from the about section of the site. “Gapminder is a non-profit venture promoting sustainable global development and achievement of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals by increased use and understanding of statistics and other information about social, economic and environmental development at local, national and global levels. We are a modern “museum” that helps making the world understandable, using the Internet.”
Criterion #1: AUTHORITY
1. Is it clear who is responsible for the contents of the page?
http://www.gapminder.org/about-gapminder/staff/ This link is to the staff and positions. The content is supplied by the staff from what I can tell.
2. Is there a link to a page describing the purpose of the sponsoring organization?
http://www.gapminder.org/about-gapminder/constitution/ This is the constitution for the organization. This is very clear and thorough.
3. Is there a way of verifying the legitimacy of the page’s sponsor?
http://www.gapminder.org/about-gapminder/contact/ There is adequate contact information that includes address, email, and phone.
4. Is it clear who wrote the material and are the author’s qualifications for writing on this topic clearly stated?http://www.gapminder.org/about-gapminder/ This reviews who is responsible for the content and the organization of the presented material.
5. If the material is protected by copyright, is the name of the copyright holder given?
© Gapminder Foundation is printed at the bottom of every page.
Criterion #2: ACCURACY
1. Are the sources for any factual information clearly listed so they can be verified in another source?
We need to write to gapminder.org for the documented indicators
2. Is the information free of grammatical, spelling, and typographical errors?
The site appears to be well thought out and free of any noticeable errors.
3. Is it clear who has the ultimate responsibility for the accuracy of the content of the material?
From what I can tell the staff link above includes who is responsible for the content of this website. All the data has been arranged by this group and maintains the documentation for the indicators.
4. If there are charts and/or graphs containing statistical data, are the charts and/or graphs clearly labeled and easy to read?
This site contains many videos and charts that are dynamic, easy to use, and allows us to use this software for our own needs.
Criterion #3: OBJECTIVITY
1. Is the information provided as a public service?
http://www.gapminder.org/faq_frequently_asked_questions/#tou
The rights for this site have been made public and all information is free to use as needed. This link is the terms of use. This states that anyone can use the data.
2. Is the information free of advertising?
Yes, the information is free of advertising.
3. If there is any advertising on the page, is it clearly differentiated from the informational content?
None that I can tell.
Criterion #4: CURRENCY
1. Are there dates on the page to indicate:
http://www.gapminder.org/blog/ This blog has posted dates.
a. When the page was written? I see a copyrighted date for google of 2008.
b. When the page was first placed on the Web? The blog has dates. Not main site.
c. When the page was last revised? Unsure from what I have read.
2. Are there any other indications that the material is kept current?
The blog gives indication that the material is being monitored and maintained. Any new indications and data is added to the blog to let us know the data is current.
3. If material is presented in graphs and/or charts, is it clearly stated when the data was gathered?
Yes, the date and year is clearly printed in the background.
4. If the information is published in different editions, is it clearly labeled what edition the page is from? Not sure if this applies to the site.
Criterion #5: COVERAGE
1. Is there an indication that the page has been completed, and is not still under construction?
The page looks clear and well thought out. There is also a box in the lower left corner that represents new blog posts. There is also a box to subscribe to updates. Nothing on the site, as far as development, seems to be in progress.
2. If there is a print equivalent to the Web page, is there a clear indication of whether the entire work is available on the Web or only parts of it?
All the graphs and material are present on the site for public use according to the frequently asked questions.
3. If the material is from a work which is out of copyright (as is often the case with a dictionary or thesaurus) has there been an effort to update the material to make it more current?
It appears that this organization is open to others data with documented material. All the data is documented and all indicators used in the site have been documented according to: http://www.gapminder.org/faq_frequently_asked_questions/#indicators
Power in the Results of Your Plan!
I need to make one statement right away and get it out in the open, and that is the fact that no business or strategic plan is ever 100% dead on accurate, but of course having no plan is absolutely never the right thing to do either, so let’s look at the actual results of the business compared to those projected in the business plan.
Another seemingly contradictory statement is that most plans are wrong and yet extremely vital, it’s an unexpected and surprising thing to hear from someone who forecasts and prepares business and strategic plans for a living, especially for those that have never developed and put a plan together, so after making a statement like that where else do we have to go, except to the very core of what business and strategic planning is.
Let me start out by saying that those who are deeply involved in plans prepare projections that many times are incorrect, and of everyone I know, only a few even came close in predicting the steep plunge in the global economy last year in the summer and fall of 2008,
so it goes without saying that those who are deeply involved in business planning processes around the world have been going through a lot of changes, adjustments and corrections, and multiple reviews and revisions, a classic true learning experience for everyone.
So you see why my opening statements about needless ineffective business and strategic plans, and yet their importance should start to make sense, and as we look ahead to the rest of the 2009 and further ahead to 2010, many upbeat forecasts that are being questioned, are in the review and revision process and starting to reflect the realities of the global economic situation, which always brings up the question why do business and strategic planning in the first place, is everyone just wasting their time developing plans and forecasts?
The answer should quickly become obvious that although the results are inaccurate at times, how we can determine where we are, if a map hasn’t been produced to show us how we got there in the first place and of course, where we are going.
If and when you look at your plan prepared last year, and of course the results should be greatly different from what actually took place, you would compare the two in detail and look not only where the differences are, but where the greatest differences exist, for example, where expenses were tied
to sales, where sales performed as expected, and look for how all the numbers were supposed to tie together, not just why they didn’t, and many times contributing factors that exacerbated the economic impacts can be identified, and those factors can be planned for and possibly eliminated as adjustments are made for the future.
And If you are like the many thousands of global entrepreneurs and organizational leaders that did not have a business or strategic plan, then this might be a really good time to get the process started in order for you to develop and have a much clearer view of your future business, and you can start by making some simple projections for sales and revenues, costs and expenses, and at this time don’t worry about whether they’re wrong or not, just try and make sure that you check each month to determine where and how, and in which direction the numbers were incorrect so that you can make necessary adjustments as a result of the information, and this whole process should bring you much closer to the action of what is taking place in the local, national, and global markets, and increase your awareness of the actions you need to take to increase your success.
By implementing the review process on a monthly basis, if you are wrong you are only wrong one month at a time, and as you use the plan’s comparison to actual results and associated analysis to see more closely what is happening exactly, your adjustments will improve, become more accurate, and the future results will be much more in tune with market activity, and you should begin to see monthly improvements.
These planning and analysis steps will increase your analysis skills, and put you in a better position to forecast more accurately when the markets should finally start to improve, and they will at some point, and you will be able to use what you learned in the process to see the signs, anticipate what will take place, and plan your actions accordingly.
So although the results of planning may be wrong and inaccurate, it is still a critical key component to an Entrepreneur’s or organizational Leader’s strategies for success, and an essential tool for successful global Entrepreneurs, as they learn in addition to preparing an initial business or strategic plan, an important part of the process is making necessary changes and adjustments, ultimately determining how to recover in the most effective and efficient manner, and how would you know how to recover if you didn’t prepare the business and strategic plan in the first place.
Questions a Business Plan Must Answer
Many Entrepreneurs and businesses have already been able to develop and implement clear, concise business strategies critical to successful, efficient and more profitable operations, but other businesses and Entrepreneurs that have either ignored or refused to consider developing a business plan for many different reasons, far outnumber them.
The Entrepreneurs and businesses that fail to plan (plan to fail) have also failed to consider that developing a business strategy doesn’t have to be restrictive (a common fear), and can be really as flexible and simple as they prefer, especially when first starting the planning process.
Following are questions and issues that need to be addressed as part of a well thought-out, clear and concise business plan, and of course other issues specific to the individual business project will also need to be addressed as they are identified.
What does the business stand for now and what will it be in the future?
- This question addresses the questions of mission and vision for the business.
- It should not only address what the business is but also what the business is not.
What does success look like?
- This is about goal setting, and if you don’t know what success looks like then you might never find it.
- Goals should always be set for specific time frames.
- Ask yourself: What do I have to accomplish by the end of this year to achieve my definition of success?
What do you make?
- Every business must create “value” and ultimately make something.
- This is about the basic “value proposition” of the business.
How do you make it?
- This question is about your craft, systems, and your way of doing business.
- It addresses your inputs, processes, and outputs of the business.
How do you sell it?
- While making something is about the creation of value this question is about marketing or capturing value.
- Many entrepreneurs are great at creating value but many failed to capture it by dropping the ball when it comes to marketing execution.
- As management author Peter Drucker wrote, “There are only two functions of business: Innovation and Marketing.”
Who are the customers?
- This question addresses the people that the business services.
- Most successful Entrepreneurs and small businesses operate in turbulent and uncertain markets catering to small niches of customers that a big business does not want to serve.
- By doing this they are able to stay off the competitive radar screen of the big companies that can’t afford to take huge gambles on such uncertain market segments.
What can you or business contributed to the world that no one else can?
- This is about the understanding of what your “one big idea” is.
- It involves a deep passion, understanding of what you can be the best in the world at, and a sufficient economic engine to drive it.
Who will manage the business and how?
- Who are the people who will operate and grow the business and how will they be organized? This speaks to the organizational structure of the business, as well as, the legal structuring.
- Having a great idea is never enough. Greater ideas are common, but the people who can successfully implement are rare.
How are profits generated and where do they come from?
- At the end of the day, the business must be profitable or it is not a business.
- You should be well versed in the revenue and cost drivers that make business profitable.
- Without profits the company cannot grow and will never be anything more than just a lifestyle business.
What stands in the way of success and how will you overcome it?
- This is about your future story, the enemy and how you overcome it and ultimately win.
- Up until now, you have been addressing questions that concern your business model which is essentially your business in the vacuum.
- But sooner or later, your business will confront internal forces or external competitors that will potentially keep you from achieving your goals.
- Dealing with this reality is, in essence, your strategy.




